Model Predictions
| Model | Iona Gaels | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -23 (40-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juana Camilion * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | +22.6 |
| Ketsia Athias * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +15.2 |
| Olivia Vezaldenos * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Shyan Mwai * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +13.4 |
| Marina Cenis * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +11.3 |
| T. Hodge-Carr | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Judith Gomez | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +8.6 |
| Isabelle Lipinski | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jazz Benn | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Lucia Becerra Perez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Paulla Weekes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenaejha Evans * | 38 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -17.3 |
| Raphaela Toussaint * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -15.1 |
| Makayla Firebaugh * | 33 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -12.7 |
| Jessika Schiffer * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | -16.6 |
| Anna Ekerstedt * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -12.8 |
| Victoria Toomey | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11.3 |
| Amanda Mobley | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | -13.5 |
| Sofie Bruintjes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Molly Lynch | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Emily Strunk | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.7 |
* = starter