Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +10 (63-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla Firebaugh * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Lenaejha Evans * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Raphaela Toussaint * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Anna Ekerstedt * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Jessika Schiffer * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +18.3 |
| Victoria Toomey | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Amanda Mobley | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Molly Lynch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.1 |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stella Clark * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Ariana Vanderhoop * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Jania Hall * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Belle Kranbuhl * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 21 | +2.4 |
| Kaci Donovan * | 25 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +6.5 |
| Lucy Thomas | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Antonia Panayides | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.6 |
| Brianna Livingston | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Zareia Chevre | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Alexa Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter