Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 98.0% | 2.0% | -21.5 | ✗ (34.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hakes | 40 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Lopez-Senechal | 39 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| C. Cavanaugh | 39 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| S. Lowery | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Hernangomez | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Peterson | 40 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| A. Knoflach | 39 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Philoxy | 38 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| R. Brown | 34 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Winston | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| I. Harris | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Jackson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter