Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -47.0 | ✓ (30.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -17 (64-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cavanaugh | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Hakes | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Lowery | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Lopez-Senechal | 30 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - |
| A. Hernangomez | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Lewis | 19 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Martin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mimi Rubino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| An. Parker | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Haar | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Yelle | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Mason | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Porter | 23 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Grimshaw | 19 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Faulcon | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Parker | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Freeman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Glover | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter