Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.0 | ✓ (29.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +42 (90-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anousinh | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Willett | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Dickson | 28 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Bourland | 26 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Annika Shah | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Z. Stachowski | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| H. Scanlan | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Vick | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Dumitrescu | 8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| F. Bergstrom | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Cangelosi | 27 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Baxter | 25 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| B. Claros | 24 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Parker Montgomery | 22 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| S. Brown | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bridget Mullings | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - |
| J. Macabuhay | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Izzy Forsyth | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| U. Chamberlin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| C. Thompson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter