Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +2 (57-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matehya Bryant * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +1.1 |
| Jada Holland * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Olivia West * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +11.5 |
| Keilanei Cooper * | 27 | 3-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | +9.6 |
| Daphne Gnago * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Mele Finau | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Jordan Webster | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -9.5 |
| India Aikins | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -1.7 |
| RyAnne Walters | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Esther Matarranz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Anna Blount | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Wahinekapu * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Carolyn Gill * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | +8.3 |
| Ashlee Lewis * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Fujika Nimmo * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Kathryn Neff * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Gabi Vidmar | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Una Jovanovic | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Clarissa Rodarte | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Aixchel Hernandez | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Brianna Furch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter