Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +14 (65-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Atwell * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -17.9 |
| Kelsie Imai * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -5.0 |
| MeiLani McBee * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10.8 |
| Nnenna Orji * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Ashley Thoms * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Daejah Phillips | 27 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | -14.0 |
| Olivia Davies | 26 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -9.3 |
| Jacque David | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -1.5 |
| N. Calhoun | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Kallin Spiller | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.5 |
| McKenna Haire | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.0 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ila Lane * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +14.9 |
| Alexis Tucker * | 31 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +21.5 |
| Johnni Gonzalez * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +13.0 |
| Megan Anderson * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Danae Miller * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Anya Choice | 19 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +12.7 |
| Taylor Mole | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Kennedy Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Lauren Lee | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.0 |
| Alyssa Marin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Tatyana Modawar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Callie Cooper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Laurel Rockwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Analillia Cabuena | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
* = starter