Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +10 (56-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Holland * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Daphne Gnago * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Jordan Webster * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Matehya Bryant * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Olivia West * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Keilanei Cooper | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Mele Finau | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6.2 |
| India Aikins | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +5.1 |
| RyAnne Walters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Anna Blount | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddi Utti * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +6.3 |
| Justina King * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Ma'Qhi Berry * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Jasmine Hardy * | 17 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Lauren Green * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +10.7 |
| K. Hamilton-Fisher | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Savannah Tucker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Kristyna Jeskeova | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Patricia Chung | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Emily Sullivan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Thea Mikkelsen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.2 |
* = starter