Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -8 (73-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Williams | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Chloe Webb | 27 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 23 | +18.1 |
| Naomi Hunt | 26 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 7 | +6.1 |
| Olivia Williams | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Sophia Locandro | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Hunter Hernandez | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Jayde Cadee | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Nikki Tom | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -15.4 |
| Deja Lee | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -8.5 |
| Caiyle Kaupu | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Melodie Kapinga | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Amelia Scharpf | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miracle Saxon | 36 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Lexus Green | 34 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Jayden Eggleston | 32 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | -9.8 |
| Vanessa Austin | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | +12.6 |
| Jasmin Dixon | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Hennie Van Schaik | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Sage Bridges-Bey | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Tatyanna Clayburne | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -12.2 |
| Soli Herrera | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Simone Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter