Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +4 (69-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanne Turner * | 39 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -4.0 |
| Sage Stobbart * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19 | -1.1 |
| Sydney Burns * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Cierra Hall * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Kayla Konrad * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -10.0 |
| Mazatlan Harris | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Bria Shine | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Makaila Sanders | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -8.1 |
| Lena Svanholm | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Megan Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Marley Langi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Gill * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Lily Wahinekapu * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 10-12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 22 | +0.4 |
| Kathryn Neff * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Fujika Nimmo * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | +12.3 |
| Ashlee Lewis * | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Gabi Vidmar | 29 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Una Jovanovic | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Clarissa Rodarte | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Ruby MacDonald | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
* = starter