Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.7% | 6.3% | -14.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jimenez | 37 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| N. Alexander | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Hamilton | 23 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| G. Rones | 18 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lexie Givens | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Holt | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alyssa Jimenez | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Natalie Lathrop | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. West | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Audrey Roden | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Ormiston | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vick | 40 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| M. Willett | 32 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| J. Anousinh | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Brown | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Z. Stachowski | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Scanlan | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sydney Bourland | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Dumitrescu | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Annika Shah | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Svetich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter