Model Predictions
| Model | St. Thomas Tommies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Hill | 38 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3 | - |
| E. Norling | 29 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| J. Glynn | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - |
| K. Burns | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Porter | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Negaard | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordyn Lamker | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jo Langbehn | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Phoebe Frentzel | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gabby Johnson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Mackenthun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vick | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Annika Shah | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Anousinh | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Sydney Bourland | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Willett | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| H. Scanlan | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Dumitrescu | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Dickson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Stachowski | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Svetich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Bergstrom | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter