Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -2 (88-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazmin Harris * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +5.3 |
| Chanin Scott * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +18.5 |
| Shareka McNeill * | 29 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Kiana Adderton * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.2 |
| Faith Blackstone * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Jasmen Walton | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +1.7 |
| S. Darks | 24 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +21.2 |
| Jordyn Dorsey | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -16.9 |
| Shayla Nelson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Nahndi Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Bevis * | 38 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Jhessyka Williams * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | -3.2 |
| Ki'Ari Cain * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | -7.2 |
| Alasia Smith * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | +19.4 |
| Lyrissa Deans * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Micahla Funderburk | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Layken Cox | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| L'Mia Littlejohn | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Shakara Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.7 |
| Emma Capps | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
* = starter