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2022-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Esmeralda Morales 39 5-12 0-2 4-5 3 3 1 0 4 14 5 -
J. Lewis 31 7-13 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 17 5 -
S. Dhaliwal 30 2-5 1-3 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Alaya Fitzgerald 30 5-12 1-3 8-9 3 0 1 0 2 19 9 -
Rhema Ogele 23 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 1 0 1 5 -
M. 'Uhila 17 1-7 0-1 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 3 2 -
R. Kelty 17 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
M. Baird 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jenna Kilty 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Schultz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Menke 39 5-8 1-1 2-4 5 2 1 0 1 13 12 -
L. Tillman 35 11-26 2-12 3-3 3 5 2 1 2 27 10 -
Katie Peneueta 33 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 4 -
Isnelle Natabou 32 9-13 0-0 5-6 17 0 3 0 6 23 24 -
J. Olivares 28 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Carrasco 11 1-2 0-0 5-6 1 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
E. Enochs 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Munguia 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
N. Barry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Lindsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter