Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylani Ballena | 31 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 0 | - |
| A. Lord | 27 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Eaton | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Daugherty | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Dotson | 24 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Samantha Johnston | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| N. Otkhmezuri | 21 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lizzy Williamson | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Margarita Satini | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Tronnier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Gandy | 36 | 8-19 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 4 | - |
| B. Bea | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 33 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Kirby | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 29 | - |
| P. Atchley | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Forsyth | 21 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Wallace | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Rubino | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Allred | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Milne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter