Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +1 (64-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmeralda Morales * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Jada Lewis * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +12.7 |
| Alaya Fitzgerald * | 30 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +9.5 |
| Savannah Dhaliwal * | 30 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +7.6 |
| Rhema Ogele * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Reilly Kelty | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +7.9 |
| M. 'Uhila | 18 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +7.2 |
| Itziar Ugarte | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Morgan Baird | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Jenna Kilty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherita Daugherty * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -15.2 |
| Lizzy Williamson * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | -3.6 |
| Daylani Ballena * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Darri Dotson * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 19 | -8.6 |
| Samantha Johnston * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Natalia Otkhmezuri | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Madelyn Eaton | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.7 |
| Margarita Satini | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Alexa Lord | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
* = starter