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2021-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Margin 23.2% 76.8% +6.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Peneueta 39 3-9 2-8 3-3 4 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
Isnelle Natabou 37 8-17 0-0 4-4 9 1 1 0 3 20 11 -
L. Tillman 34 6-15 0-2 0-0 3 8 1 0 5 12 4 -
S. Menke 32 1-5 0-1 4-4 6 1 2 0 6 6 4 -
J. Rios 26 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
J. Carrasco 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Olivares 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
A. Falkowska 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Miller 40 3-9 1-5 4-6 5 3 0 0 6 11 4 -
I. Lane 28 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 3 3 2 6 15 -
A. Tucker 27 7-11 2-3 5-6 2 2 3 1 1 21 17 -
M. Anderson 23 0-4 0-1 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 1 3 -
T. Mole 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
K. Johnson 16 3-7 0-2 1-1 8 2 2 0 1 7 11 -
J. Gonzalez 15 1-5 1-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
T. Modawar 11 2-5 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
A. Choice 11 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 2 5 4 -
L. Lee 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Marin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Rockwood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter