Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.7% | 1.3% | -23.8 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. White | 35 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 12 | - |
| K. Bad Bear | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Leia Beattie | 29 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| K. Martin | 28 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Lexi Deden | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. Van Sickle | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Janssen | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Hughes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Ranson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Hein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brown | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Vick | 32 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 25 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Bourland | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Dumitrescu | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Anousinh | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Willett | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Z. Stachowski | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Shah | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Svetich | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Dickson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter