Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bourne | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Goles | 28 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| M. Oltrogge | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Ors | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| E. Smith | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Whitman | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Bernard | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Sweeney | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Salmons | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Murillo | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| F. Garnett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Bevao | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Goss | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Wiard | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 30 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| J. Jansen | 24 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Mikonowicz | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Cook | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Y. Curry | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Garcia | 14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| H. Noveroske | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| H. Idowu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Doherty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Lance | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter