Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VCU Rams -5 (55-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciaja Harbison * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | +11.5 |
| Natalie McNeal * | 38 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +19.2 |
| Brooke Flowers * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +5.3 |
| Marisa Warren * | 31 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Julia Martinez * | 28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Kiley Bess | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Nyajuok Toang | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 |
| S. Gul | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taya Robinson * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Sarah Te-Biasu * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Janika Griffith-Wallace * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1.0 |
| Madison Hattix-Covington * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Keowa Walters * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Dasia Townes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Samantha Robinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -20.1 |
| Grace Hutson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Elze Motekaityte | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
* = starter