Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams +20 (55-35). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talya Brugler * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Julia Nystrom * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mackenzie Smith * | 30 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Katie Jekot * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1 | - |
| E. Marsicano * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Olivia Mullins | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Emma Boslet | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Laila Fair | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| G. Smalls | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Katie Mayock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mary Sheehan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna DeWolfe * | 37 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Asiah Dingle * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kaitlyn Downey * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kendell Heremaia * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Megan Jonassen * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sarah Karpell | 17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Maranda Nyborg | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Millie Prior | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matilda Flood | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colleen McQuillen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Edona Thaqi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Catherine Polisano | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter