Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -3 (53-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randrea Wright * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Lucy Ibeh * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Gloria Fornah * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.3 |
| Jayla Cody * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +5.1 |
| Rita James * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.7 |
| Hannah Langhi | 31 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +14.1 |
| Savanna Walker | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +11.9 |
| Carley Hudspeth | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Leah Perry | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Lashiyah Fowler | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.6 |
| Ruth Balogun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhetta Moore * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -11.8 |
| Emma Broermann * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | -6.5 |
| Ally Knights * | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -3.4 |
| Jazz Bond * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Jai. Bond * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +9.7 |
| Summah Evans | 17 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -5.3 |
| Nubia Benedith | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -15.0 |
| Kaila Rougier | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.4 |
| Tiffany Tolbert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Britnay Gore | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Erin Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
* = starter