Model Predictions
| Model | Bellarmine Knights | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +11 (64-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Scott * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -9.5 |
| Lucy Robertson * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Jaela Johnson * | 15 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -5.3 |
| Claire Knies * | 10 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -7.1 |
| Haley Stoklosa * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.5 |
| Bailee Harney | 33 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 9 | -3.9 |
| Presley Brown | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Mackenzie Keelin | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Bralee Trice | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +14.5 |
| Sheniqua Coatney | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -7.2 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Hargrove * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Yazz Wazeerud-Din * | 31 | 0-9 | 0-8 | 5-8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -2.7 |
| Tatiana Streun * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +10.1 |
| Kiya Turner * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Jamiya Turner * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -7.5 |
| Ayanna Dublin | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Maddie Novak | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Khamya McNeal | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Tippy Robertson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
* = starter