Model Predictions
| Model | North Alabama Lions | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.6% | 99.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +12 (75-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Alabama Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hina Suzuki * | 40 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Patrycja Jaworska * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Julia Strachan * | 27 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Skyler Gill * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -14.8 |
| Jade Moore * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Alexis Callins | 25 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Macey Lee | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Reagan Hune | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Olivia Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedi Williams * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Bridgette Rettstatt * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +6.0 |
| Dee Brown * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +9.9 |
| Mya Berkman * | 23 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | +13.9 |
| Priscilla Smeenge * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Emma Hess | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Nenna Lindstrom | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Jordan Bailey | 14 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Bella Smuda | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -5.2 |
| Alyssa Iverson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Jordan Hodges | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.5 |
| Alise Markova | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Nyah Stallings | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.6 |
* = starter