Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Baker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| J. Hohn * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| JC Butler * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Ujadughele | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Keeler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Henry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Leuchten | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Redfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Koroma * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 35 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| B. Stevenson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| C. Welp * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| K. Sanders * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Pierce * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Franklin | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| I. Lee | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Colvin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jaakkola | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Esparza | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Jory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter