Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. James * | 47 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 29 | - |
| E. Hardy * | 47 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 31 | - |
| A. Wright * | 47 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 31 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| O. Eyisi * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| C. Gray * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Beane | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Rains | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| F. Okereke | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Esparza | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Koroma * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 27 | - |
| K. Sanders * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Pierce | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| T. Jaakkola | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter