Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +24 (72-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brantly Stevenson * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Trevon Taylor * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Camren Pierce * | 32 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Kobe Sanders * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Welp * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| I. Lee | 28 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Colvin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matur Dhal | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Ruck | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Hayden Jory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Baker * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| JC Butler * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Justin Hohn * | 18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Bent Leuchten | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andre Henry | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Langston Redfield | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter