Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -17 (47-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Aaron Murphy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ade Adebayo | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atin Wright * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Marcel Stevens * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Harrick * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Christian Gray * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Elijah Hardy | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Onyi Eyisi | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Arman Pezeshkian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter