Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Pepper * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Kane Milling | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Murphy | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camren Pierce * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 33 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter