Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -11 (46-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Colvin * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| F. Cameron * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Z. Pullin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| D. Pickett * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| W. Tattersall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. McRae * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Mading | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Martinez | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Elkaz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Esparza | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Koroma * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| C. Pierce * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Sanders | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Franklin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Jaakkola | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter