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2021-11-09

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% -
Log Adjusted 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Pepper * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 2 16 24 -
C. Anigwe * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 14 21 -
A. Adebayo * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
K. Milling 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 3 11 16 -
L. DeBruhl 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
A. Murphy 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 1 5 -
F. Borra 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Eytle-Rock * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 1 3 8 16 -
B. Miller * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 8 9 -
S. Ashworth 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 5 9 -
T. Dorius 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 5 12 -
M. Shulga 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 5 -
S. Zapala 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Hamoda 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter