Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Minaya * | 40 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Al Durham * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| N. Horchler * | 37 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| N. Watson * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Breed * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Bynum | 26 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ed Croswell | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Scruggs | 35 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dwon Odom | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dieonte Miles | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Colby Jones * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Zach Freemantle * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jack Nunge * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Nate Johnson * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adam Kunkel | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerome Hunter | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter