Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smalls * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Connor Nelson * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Stacy Beckton * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Matt Rogers * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Elijah Stephens | 25 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lincoln Ball | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Alexander | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jaxon Knotek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Delaney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzo Donadio | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mason Whittaker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Caldwell * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Duhart * | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Rucker * | 32 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| C. Peterson * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Mann * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| N. Naess | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Dove | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| I. Caldwell | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| TJ Small | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| AJ Allenspach | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter