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2021-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.4% 84.6% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +25 (106-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Phillip Russell * 34 3-14 1-8 8-8 3 6 1 0 4 15 7 -
Eric Reed * 33 8-14 4-9 0-2 2 0 0 0 3 20 5 -
Sam Thompson * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Nygal Russell * 22 1-8 1-4 2-3 3 4 0 1 1 5 4 -
Dylan Branson * 20 2-4 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 7 8 -
Chris Harris 27 4-8 3-5 4-4 4 3 1 0 2 15 13 -
Parker Long 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Nana Akenten 11 1-7 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Manny Patterson 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Nate Johnson 6 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tevin Brown * 31 4-13 3-8 6-7 2 5 4 1 3 17 13 -
Justice Hill * 29 9-15 6-10 2-2 1 5 1 0 1 26 17 -
KJ Williams * 26 8-14 2-3 3-4 11 1 1 1 1 21 20 -
Carter Collins * 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -
DJ Burns * 21 3-4 0-0 3-4 10 1 0 1 2 9 15 -
Jordan Skipper-Brown 19 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 8 14 -
Trae Hannibal 18 6-8 0-0 3-4 2 2 1 0 3 15 9 -
DaQuan Smith 14 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
Nick McMullen 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 3 4 -
Dionte Bostick 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Rod Thomas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jackson Sivills 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter