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2021-11-23

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (25.3 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +31 (98-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. O'Neil 29 6-9 3-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 15 14 -
M. Rogers * 28 7-11 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 14 10 -
C. Smalls * 26 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
S. Beckton Jr. * 20 1-7 0-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
C. Nelson * 19 2-9 1-5 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 7 1 -
E. Stephens 25 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 9 8 -
J. Knotek 22 4-9 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 3 -
M. Bragg 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
L. Ball 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L. Donadio 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Whittaker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Boonyasith * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 1 14 21 -
K. Kennedy * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 21 23 -
L.J. Owens * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 0 12 23 -
D. Rogers * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 0 0 2 10 16 -
D. Spasojevic * 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
S. Wojcik 17 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 1 7 10 -
R. Salnave 15 2-3 2-3 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
H. Byrd 13 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
Y. Obeng-Mensah 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
N. Johnson 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Picarelli 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
JC Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Sumpter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter