Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +40 (84-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Adams | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Jameson | 28 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| A. Scott | 27 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| T. Lawhorne | 25 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Wakefield | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Paula Suarez | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Doster | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Rodriguez | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Ephraim | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Kaktaite | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Laumbach | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makira Cook | 26 | 13-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 21 | - |
| A. Bradshaw | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| D. Bohanon | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Whalen | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Giacone | 19 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Whitehead | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tenin Magassa | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Perry | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Wheeler | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Perez | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Capria Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brynn Shoup-Hill | 9 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Anna LeMaster | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Davidson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter