Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +12 (67-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amaya Scott * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | -19.3 |
| Taylor Jameson * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | -16.5 |
| Jayla Adams * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Jordan Wakefield * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Angelee Rodriguez * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Paula Suarez | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -16.0 |
| Jazmyn Doster | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -4.3 |
| Livija Kaktaite | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Vanessa Laumbach | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7.5 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan McConnell * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | +19.2 |
| Libby Bazelak * | 36 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +15.9 |
| Tess Myers * | 32 | 5-13 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +18.1 |
| Fatou Pouye * | 26 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +8.8 |
| Laia Sole * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +10.8 |
| Precious Johnson | 20 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Amaya Hamilton | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +11.2 |
| Halle Bovell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Natalija Sekulovska | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Aniya Walker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Singo Lekeuneu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter