Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Manjon | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Fuller | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kane Milling | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Ba | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Caleb McGill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Murphy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William FitzPatrick * | 34 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Fowler * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Jonathan Komagum * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Zach Chappell * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Cameron Wilbon * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Deshaun Highler | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Hugo Clarkin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Teiano Hardee | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Elijah McCullough | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Holley | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Greene | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Theo Seng | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter