Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +5 (100-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fausett * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| T. Jones * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Spurgin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| H. Butler | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Barnes | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 35 | - |
| Daylen Kountz * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 37 | - |
| Dru Kuxhausen * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Marin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kur Jongkuch * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Bodie Hume * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bryce Kennedy | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Zach Bloch | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter