Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Zach Bloch | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Kennedy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cone * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Keith Haymon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jayden Jackson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Mason Stark | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jay Green | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Wynton Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter