Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Zach Bloch | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bryce Kennedy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amin Adamu * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Great Osobor * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Xavier Bishop * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Abdul Mohamed * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 22 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Raequan Battle | 21 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kellen Tynes | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Patrick McMahon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Borja Fernandez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter