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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“

Actual: UNLV Rebels +3 (55-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Anticevich * 36 5-12 1-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
Jordan Shepherd * 34 3-17 1-6 2-2 2 2 2 0 4 9 -6 -
Andre Kelly * 29 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 3 8 11 -
Joel Brown * 29 3-7 1-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 7 6 -
Kuany Kuany * 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 5 -
Jalen Celestine 24 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Lars Thiemann 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Jarred Hyder 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Makale Foreman 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Sam Alajiki 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Hamilton * 30 5-14 2-6 0-1 5 2 1 0 1 12 5 -
Jordan McCabe * 28 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
Mike Nuga * 24 4-10 2-6 0-1 6 2 1 0 2 10 7 -
R. Hamm Jr. * 21 3-4 0-1 1-1 7 0 0 2 3 7 9 -
Josh Baker * 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Donovan Williams 24 3-11 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 8 1 -
Marvin Coleman 22 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 3 7 -
Keshon Gilbert 16 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 5 7 -
Justin Webster 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
David Muoka 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter