Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +18 (66-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 40 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Beasley * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Josh Bannan * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Mack Anderson * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Whitney * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lonnell Martin * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Vazquez | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Carter-Hollinger | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Scott Blakney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter