Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +4 (89-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Strong * | 36 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 36 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Sy Chatman * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Mark Freeman * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Emon Washington | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joh. Davis * | 38 | 6-22 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Chucky Hepburn * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brad Davison * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Wahl * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Steven Crowl * | 27 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Chris Vogt | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Davis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carter Gilmore | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Lindsey | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Markus Ilver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter