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2021-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pickett * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 1 5 14 22 -
M. Dread * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 11 16 -
S. Lundy * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 11 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Murray * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 11 -
D. Days * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 8 17 -
X. Pinson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 15 20 -
E. Reid III * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 12 -
M. Wilkinson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
E. Gaines 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 7 14 -
T. Eason 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 0 2 20 30 -
A. Fudge 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 8 -

* = starter