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2021-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shackelford * 35 4-12 1-4 1-2 8 1 3 0 4 10 6 -
K. Ellis * 32 7-14 3-10 2-2 6 1 2 1 3 19 12 -
J. Quinerly * 28 4-11 2-8 2-2 6 4 1 0 5 12 7 -
J. Gary * 21 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
C. Bediako * 19 4-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 1 0 9 7 -
JD Davison 32 3-6 0-1 2-4 5 10 3 1 3 8 18 -
D. Miles 18 3-5 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
N. Gurley 15 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nolley II 36 5-14 3-9 0-0 4 6 4 0 1 13 12 -
L. Quinones 27 2-5 0-3 8-9 4 1 2 0 2 12 12 -
J. Duren 27 7-9 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 1 2 14 12 -
T. Harris 16 3-5 3-5 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 11 7 -
E. Bates 15 1-6 1-3 4-4 2 1 1 0 3 7 2 -
J. Minott 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Williams * 33 7-10 1-2 5-6 3 6 3 1 1 20 22 -
A. Lomax * 30 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 5 7 6 -
M. Dandridge 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 6 5 -
J. Hardaway 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter