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2021-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 51.7% 48.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Log Adjusted 86.1% 13.9% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +1 (83-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. White Jr. 24 5-9 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
K. Edwards 22 2-7 2-6 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Carlton 21 5-7 0-0 4-5 6 0 1 3 1 14 16 -
T. Mark 18 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 -3 -
T. Moore 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 2 1 0 3 6 -
M. Sasser * 39 8-25 4-14 5-5 5 1 1 0 2 25 5 -
J. Shead * 29 5-12 1-1 1-2 1 3 2 0 2 12 4 -
R. Chaney * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
J. Roberts 22 4-4 0-0 1-6 13 1 0 0 0 9 19 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shackelford * 37 6-10 5-7 1-1 8 1 1 0 1 18 17 -
J. Quinerly * 32 7-11 1-2 2-2 3 8 2 0 3 17 16 -
J. Gary * 29 6-13 1-3 6-9 4 0 0 1 0 19 11 -
K. Ellis * 29 0-5 0-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
C. Bediako * 16 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
JD Davison 26 3-4 0-0 4-5 9 2 0 0 2 10 15 -
N. Gurley 17 1-1 0-0 6-7 1 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
D. Miles 14 0-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter