Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Jeffries * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Javian Davis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432117 * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Adam Thistlewood * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chandler Jacobs | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| John Tonje | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Lake | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| James Moors | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter