Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Knecht | 36 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kur Jongkuch | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Matt Johnson | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Bodie Hume | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dru Kuxhausen | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Tre'Shon Smoots | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Bryce Kennedy | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zach Bloch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ta. Armstrong * | 37 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Ty Rowell * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Akin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 29 | - |
| R. Nottage * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Hunter * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tre Armstrong | 31 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. Thomas | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter