Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +26 (110-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te'Jon Lucas * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Alex Barcello * | 26 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Fousseyni Traore * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Caleb Lohner * | 22 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Trevin Knell * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Gideon George | 23 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Spencer Johnson | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Erickson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 33 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Matthew Lang | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martynas Arlauskas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 28 | 13-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 24 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Anton Watson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nolan Hickman | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Graves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Few | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter